European authorities are considering cutting interest rates: officials
Germany wants euro-area finance chiefs to avoid splitting consideration of a 130 billion-euro ($171 billion) Greek rescue and a bond swap to cut the nation’s debt load at a meeting next week, coalition lawmakers were told by German government officials in a briefing.
As long as Greece meets conditions for the aid, the finance chiefs will probably approve the package along with the debt exchange, three German officials involved in the telephone briefing Thursday said. A Finance Ministry spokesman declined to comment.
Wrangling among euro-area finance ministers on a Wednesday conference call over how to reduce Greece’s debt load and tighten control of the aid raised the prospect of a two-step process, according to two people familiar with the talks. In that scenario, the ministers’ Monday gathering in Brussels would be limited to kicking off the bond exchange and deferring decision on the rest of the bailout funds.
Electronic screens display stock prices inside the Greek stock exchange in Athens. (Bloomberg)
As recriminations fly between Greece and its northern European creditors, the clock is ticking toward a March 20 bond redemption when Greece must pay 14.5 billion euros or trigger the first sovereign default in the euro’s 13-year history.
“We expect the Greeks to rise to their responsibilities,” German Deputy Finance Minister Steffen Kampeter told a group of lawyers in Hamburg Thursday. “This coming Monday, we will see whether Greece delivers or whether we will be forced to decide on another course of action, one that is not desired.”
Euro Gains
Investors sent the euro and global stocks higher as they anticipated the culmination of the seven-month effort to complete a second bailout for Greece. The currency rose for the first time in five days, gaining 0.7 percent to $1.3153 at 11 p.m. in Athens.
While Greek lawmakers this month passed austerity measures that were required for the aid, the euro ministers wrestled with the latest setback, hearing on their call that Greece would miss debt-reduction goals. Without further measures to close the funding gap, Greece’s debt would fall to 129 percent of gross domestic product in 2020, missing a target of 120 percent, said three people familiar with the talks who declined to be named because they are still in progress. Last year, the level was about 160 percent.
European authorities are discussing charging it lower rates, the three officials said. Greece obtained its first, 110 billion-euro loan package in May 2010 at rates averaging 5 percent. Euro governments have already cut that figure once, to about 4 percent in March 2011.
ECB Holdings
Central bankers have also indicated that the ECB could funnel future profits from its Greek bond holdings to national governments and on into the crisis program. They have agreed that they “don’t wish to make a profit on Greece,” ECB Governing Council member Luc Coene of Belgium said this week. An ECB spokesman declined to comment.
More controversial is a proposal for national central banks to take part in the private exchange by accepting losses on Greek bonds in their investment portfolios. France is virtually alone in backing that idea, one of the officials said.
The ECB is swapping its Greek bonds for new ones to ensure it isn’t forced to take losses in a debt restructuring, three euro-area officials said.
The multiple scenarios led to a possible two-step decision -- authorizing the bond exchange next week and then completing the 130 billion-euro public aid program -- that would raise political risks by requiring two votes in some national parliaments.
Summit Showdown
It would also turn a planned March 1-2 summit of European leaders into a showdown over Greece, after countries including the Netherlands and Finland called for delaying the full package until after Greek elections in April or later.
The bond exchange can only go ahead once governments authorize the European Financial Stability Facility to provide 30 billion euros, to be used in cash or collateral as an incentive to investors.
Euro officials are targeting a window of Feb. 22 to March 9 to complete the transaction, the German lawmakers were told.
Greek leaders have no more “wiggle room” even as they seek to maintain a minimum level of public support going into elections that may take place in April, Deutsche Bank economists Gilles Moec, Marco Stringa and Mark Wall wrote in a note to clients Thursday.
(Bloomberg)
